Two group matches of the Champions Trophy 2025 are still left, but three semi-finalists have already been confirmed. The fourth semi-finalist is also almost confirmed unless there is a miracle and Afghanistan qualifies. The chances are very slim, but Afghanistan is not officially eliminated from the tournament.
With both South Africa and Afghanistan currently at three points, there is a scenario in the upcoming England vs South Africa match that could allow Afghanistan to secure a semi-final berth. Afghanistan had a chance to qualify by defeating Australia on Friday, but that couldn’t happen as rain intervened in the second innings, and the match had no result.
How Can Afghanistan Qualify For The Semi-Final?
Australia, with four points, cannot be pushed below the top two in Group B, so they have qualified. Let’s find out what result is needed in the South Africa vs England match for Afghanistan to finish in the top two.
If South Africa bats first, it will be practically impossible for their net run rate to fall below Afghanistan’s. That’s why, first and foremost, England needs to bat first. England will have to post a big total because they must win this match by at least 207 runs for South Africa’s net run rate to drop below Afghanistan’s -0.990. Currently, the Proteas have a healthy +2.140 NRR.
Temba Bavuma’s team only needs to avoid a defeat of 207+ runs to secure a semi-final spot. Even if they win by just one run, South Africa will top Group B with 5 points. The fourth confirmed semi-finalist will join India, New Zealand, and Australia. The semi-finals are scheduled to be held on March 4 and 5 in Dubai and Lahore, respectively.
